Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.001684 0.001789 0.001897 0.002018 0.002148 0.002285 0.002440
2025-03-16 0.001532 0.001679 0.001838 0.002021 0.002228 0.002455 0.002724
2025-03-23 0.001410 0.001582 0.001773 0.002000 0.002266 0.002568 0.002940
2025-03-30 0.001323 0.001512 0.001728 0.001991 0.002308 0.002680 0.003152
2025-04-06 0.001240 0.001441 0.001673 0.001963 0.002320 0.002750 0.003311
2025-04-13 0.001168 0.001375 0.001619 0.001930 0.002321 0.002802 0.003446
2025-04-20 0.001086 0.001293 0.001540 0.001861 0.002271 0.002785 0.003488
2025-04-27 0.001056 0.001272 0.001534 0.001879 0.002330 0.002906 0.003715
2025-05-04 0.001038 0.001265 0.001544 0.001919 0.002417 0.003067 0.004000
2025-05-11 0.001030 0.001269 0.001567 0.001975 0.002525 0.003260 0.004340
2025-05-18 0.001005 0.001251 0.001561 0.001990 0.002581 0.003382 0.004587
2025-05-25 0.000962 0.001206 0.001518 0.001954 0.002562 0.003401 0.004683
2025-06-01 0.000918 0.001161 0.001476 0.001922 0.002554 0.003441 0.004827
2025-06-08 0.000887 0.001133 0.001456 0.001920 0.002587 0.003543 0.005071
2025-06-15 0.000852 0.001098 0.001424 0.001899 0.002593 0.003604 0.005256
2025-06-22 0.000824 0.001071 0.001402 0.001890 0.002615 0.003689 0.005484
2025-06-29 0.000792 0.001037 0.001369 0.001864 0.002608 0.003730 0.005640
2025-07-06 0.000761 0.001003 0.001334 0.001832 0.002592 0.003755 0.005772
2025-07-13 0.000721 0.000955 0.001278 0.001768 0.002523 0.003690 0.005746
2025-07-20 0.000709 0.000946 0.001277 0.001785 0.002579 0.003830 0.006081
2025-07-27 0.000703 0.000947 0.001289 0.001822 0.002669 0.004027 0.006531
2025-08-03 0.000702 0.000953 0.001310 0.001874 0.002784 0.004273 0.007089
2025-08-10 0.000691 0.000944 0.001308 0.001889 0.002840 0.004421 0.007477